PREMIUM MODELS
Advanced modeling tools for serious sports bettors
Bayesian Odds
Combine market odds with your model using Bayesian inference for posterior probabilities
Better Line
Compare two lines using CDF analysis to find which has less embedded vig
Player Prop Simulator
Monte Carlo simulation for player props with sport-specific distributions and fair odds
Poisson Match Predictor
Model match outcomes with Poisson distributions — scoreline probabilities, moneyline, spreads, and totals
Negative Binomial Match Predictor
Model match outcomes with overdispersed scoring — better for blowout-prone matchups in baseball, hockey, and soccer
Regression to the Mean
Regress small-sample player stats toward true talent using Bayesian shrinkage
Alternate Line Pricer
Generate fair odds for every alternate spread and total line from a single market price
Middle Finder
Calculate the probability and expected value of landing in the middle of two positions
Teaser EV
Calculate cover probabilities, fair odds, and expected value for teasers — compare your teaser to the book